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Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger

Sports→TennisSettlement: Lilli TaggerLiquidity: $181.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $434.6KEvent: Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger
0.0¢
Tereza Valentova payout
100.0¢
Lilli Tagger payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:251 trades$147.5K trackedsource coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 37 min agoofficial metadata 20 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lilli Tagger · $12.8K net·12 wallets·$20.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLilli Tagger$7.4K@ 55¢·Kkunn

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lilli Tagger. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-28 04:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tereza Valentova and Lilli Tagger in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tereza Valentova' if Tereza Valentova advances against Lilli Tagger. This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Tereza Valentova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 21m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 21m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Tereza Valentova@ 57.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp1h INVALIDATED -50.0pp
Latest book event: Tereza Valentova DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $113 → $1.2K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tereza Valentova; negative values favor Lilli Tagger. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLilli Tagger · $8.1K
6hLilli Tagger · $18.3K
24hLilli Tagger · $18.8K

Tereza Valentova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tereza Valentova price. Lilli Tagger fills are converted to the complementary Tereza Valentova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h33.1¢▼ below by 33.1pp
VWAP 7d33.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tereza Valentova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$6.3K
55¢
$7.3K
50¢
$19.1K
45¢
$29.9K
40¢
$42
35¢
$22.7K
30¢
$7.7K
25¢
$8.7K
20¢
$5.3K
15¢
$3.7K
10¢
$6.5K
5¢
$1.7K
0¢
← now
$28.5K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesTereza Valentova$28.5K
BUY VWAP 51.1¢·16 fills
KkunnLilli Tagger$13.6K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.