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Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti

Sports→TennisSettlement: Lorenzo MusettiLiquidity: $224.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $546.6KEvent: Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti
0.0¢
Moise Kouame payout
100.0¢
Lorenzo Musetti payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:186 trades$200.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 58 min agoofficial metadata 37 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lorenzo Musetti · $35.4K net·22 wallets(2🐋)·$113.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLorenzo Musetti$28.1K@ 100¢·0x246b…fb5b

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lorenzo Musetti. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-28 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Moise Kouame and Lorenzo Musetti in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moise Kouame' if Moise Kouame advances against Lorenzo Musetti. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Moise Kouame. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 38m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 38m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
neutralwave232 linked markets · $14 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Lorenzo Musetti2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Lorenzo Musetti2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Lorenzo Musetti@ 79.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +11.0pp1h CONFIRMED +20.1pp
MARKET SWEEPBUY Lorenzo Musetti@ 76.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +14.0pp1h CONFIRMED +23.3pp
Latest book event: Moise Kouame DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $358 → $7.8K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Moise Kouame; negative values favor Lorenzo Musetti. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMoise Kouame · $23.1K
6hLorenzo Musetti · $51.0K
24hLorenzo Musetti · $53.9K

Moise Kouame price VWAP

Volume-weighted Moise Kouame price. Lorenzo Musetti fills are converted to the complementary Moise Kouame probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h17.0¢▼ below by 17.0pp
VWAP 7d17.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Moise Kouame price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$8.9K
40¢
$3.5K
35¢
$18.2K
30¢
$3.0K
25¢
$40.0K
20¢
$25.8K
15¢
$5.9K
10¢
$27.0K
5¢
$9.5K
0¢
← now
$59.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLorenzo Musetti$28.1K@ 99.9¢0x246b…fb5b🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$18.2K@ 65.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$21.0K@ 74.5¢0x246b…fb5b🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x246b…fb5bLorenzo Musetti$21.0K
BUY VWAP 74.5¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cLorenzo Musetti$18.2K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesLorenzo Musetti$11.7K
BUY VWAP 91.7¢·11 fills
UpTheBluesMoise Kouame$11.3K
BUY VWAP 27.0¢·11 fills
FlaznorpLorenzo Musetti$10.7K
BUY VWAP 89.3¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.