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Spread: Clippers (-4.5)

● quote 11s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $209.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $285.3KEvent: Kings vs. Clippers
52.5¢
Clippers
47.5¢
Kings
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:68 trades$91.9K trackedsource coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 41 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kings · $1.5K net·3 wallets·$1.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKings$5.0K@ 48¢·ppku6298

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Clippers pressure: $2.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.9K
6h
−$26.1K
tracked
$91.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: Kings · $1.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 41 minutes old.
  • •Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Clippers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-22 02:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If Clippers wins by more than 4.5 points, the market will resolve to "Clippers".

•If Kings loses by fewer than 4.5 points, or wins the game outright, the market will resolve to "Kings".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Kings and Clippers, scheduled for October 21 at 10:30PM ET: If Clippers wins by more than 4.5 points, the market will resolve to "Clippers". If Kings loses by fewer than 4.5 points, or wins the game outright, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until completed. If the game is canceled entirely, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1winstreak12 linked markets · $9.9K gross
bbb173671628062 linked markets · $9.7K gross
ss08552 linked markets · $9.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Clippers; negative values favor Kings. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hClippers · $2.9K
6hKings · $26.1K
24hKings · $70.6K

Clippers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Clippers price. Kings fills are converted to the complementary Clippers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h52.5¢▼ below by 0.0pp
VWAP 7d52.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Clippers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$91.9K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
49.5¢$122.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kings vs. Clippers
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Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
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Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5
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Spread: Clippers (-3.5)
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Spread: Clippers (-2.5)
0.0¢$3.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)
0.0¢$2.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)
0.0¢$2.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.