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Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)

Sports→SoccerSettlement: Cagliari CalcioLiquidity: $129.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $134.3KEvent: SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio - More Markets
0.0¢
SS Lazio payout
100.0¢
Cagliari Calcio payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:26 trades$52.6K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 89 min agoofficial metadata 59 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cagliari Calcio · $23.6K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$23.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSS Lazio$23.3K@ 39¢·ch27er

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Cagliari Calcio. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-01 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "SS Lazio" if SS Lazio win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cagliari Calcio".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for November 1 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SS Lazio" if SS Lazio win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cagliari Calcio". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on legaseriea.it. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 59m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 59m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Flaznorp9 linked markets · $292.1K gross
thetesterguy2 linked markets · $50.6K gross
Bobobull89892 linked markets · $40.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY SS Lazio@ 40.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -8.0pp1h INVALIDATED -20.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cagliari Calcio@ 61.0¢12h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: SS Lazio DOWN 18.1pp · near-book depth $42 → $159 · 17s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor SS Lazio; negative values favor Cagliari Calcio. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSS Lazio · $2.6K
6hSS Lazio · $24.0K
24hSS Lazio · $1.5K

SS Lazio price VWAP

Volume-weighted SS Lazio price. Cagliari Calcio fills are converted to the complementary SS Lazio probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h37.22¢▼ below by 37.2pp
VWAP 7d37.22¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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SS Lazio price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$6.6K
35¢
$41.4K
30¢
$1.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$10
15¢
$9
10¢
$0
5¢
$2.6K
0¢
← now
$57

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSS Lazio$23.3K@ 38.86¢
ch27er0x61a3…e508
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYCagliari Calcio$17.1K@ 60.91¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 12 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ch27erSS Lazio$23.3K
BUY VWAP 38.86¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cCagliari Calcio$22.2K
BUY VWAP 60.61¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.