PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5

● quote just now
Sports→BaseballCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $224.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $171.4KEvent: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
53.5¢
Over
46.5¢
Under
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:32 trades$83.0K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 18 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Over · $58.6K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$58.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$50.6K@ 53¢·Talvez10

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$13
6h
+$56.0K
tracked
$83.0K

5 verified profitable wallets: Over · $58.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 18 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-20 00:08 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays combine to score 7 or more runs in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 7, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 19 at 8:08 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays combine to score 7 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 7, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $22.0K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $16.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 55.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $13
6hOver · $56.0K
24hOver · $59.9K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current53.5¢
VWAP 24h53.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d53.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$3
50¢
← now
$83.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOver$50.6K@ 53.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
41.5¢$103.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
38.5¢$25.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
40.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Almaty Open: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
0.0¢$1.5Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lyon Open: Jaime Faria vs Felix Balshaw
0.0¢$681.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame
0.0¢$627.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lyon Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti
0.0¢$456.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$437.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Talvez10Over$50.6K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill
quavooUnder$11.5K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.