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Almaty Open: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis

Sports→TennisSettlement: Mikhail KukushkinLiquidity: $1.9MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.5MEvent: Almaty Open: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
100.0¢
Mikhail Kukushkin payout
0.0¢
Stefanos Sakellaridis payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:351 trades$634.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1266 min agoofficial metadata 891 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Stefanos Sakellaridis · $21.3K net·21 wallets(2🐋)·$149.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMikhail Kukushkin$80.1K@ 100¢·778908

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Mikhail Kukushkin. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-26 14:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mikhail Kukushkin and Stefanos Sakellaridis in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mikhail Kukushkin' if Mikhail Kukushkin advances against Stefanos Sakellaridis. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Sakellaridis' if Stefanos Sakellaridis advances against Mikhail Kukushkin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Donkoo2 linked markets · $70 gross
Absing2 linked markets · $56 gross
0x5d63…90752 linked markets · $10 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Mikhail Kukushkin@ 96.0¢21h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
COUNTER FLOWBUY Mikhail Kukushkin@ 50.0¢21h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Mikhail Kukushkin22h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Mikhail Kukushkin@ 51.0¢22h ago
15m CONFIRMED +14.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Stefanos Sakellaridis DOWN 11.5pp · near-book depth $127 → $2.2K · 5s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mikhail Kukushkin; negative values favor Stefanos Sakellaridis. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMikhail Kukushkin · $0
6hMikhail Kukushkin · $0
24hStefanos Sakellaridis · $179.9K

Mikhail Kukushkin price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mikhail Kukushkin price. Stefanos Sakellaridis fills are converted to the complementary Mikhail Kukushkin probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h62.7¢▲ above by 37.3pp
VWAP 7d62.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mikhail Kukushkin price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$134.3K
90¢
$7.0K
85¢
$5.8K
80¢
$51.6K
75¢
$31.0K
70¢
$59.7K
65¢
$36.1K
60¢
$43.7K
55¢
$18.9K
50¢
$23.1K
45¢
$45.1K
40¢
$43.0K
35¢
$60.1K
30¢
$19.1K
25¢
$26.8K
20¢
$41.1K
15¢
$20.6K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMikhail Kukushkin$80.1K@ 99.9¢
7789080x3c3a…8b5f
🐋—about 21 hours ago
SELLMikhail Kukushkin$19.1K@ 99.9¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—about 21 hours ago
BUYMikhail Kukushkin$15.0K@ 78.4¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—about 21 hours ago
BUYMikhail Kukushkin$13.6K@ 73.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 21 hours ago
BUYMikhail Kukushkin$16.6K@ 83.0¢
7789080x3c3a…8b5f
🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYMikhail Kukushkin$12.3K@ 42.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYStefanos Sakellaridis$11.6K@ 28.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYMikhail Kukushkin$28.3K@ 68.9¢
7789080x3c3a…8b5f
🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYStefanos Sakellaridis$13.7K@ 43.0¢
kdvlklkvlsklkfs0xcfe8…3a6c
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYStefanos Sakellaridis$14.9K@ 40.0¢
kdvlklkvlsklkfs0xcfe8…3a6c
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYStefanos Sakellaridis$12.9K@ 40.0¢
kdvlklkvlsklkfs0xcfe8…3a6c
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYStefanos Sakellaridis$33.9K@ 62.0¢
kdvlklkvlsklkfs0xcfe8…3a6c
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYStefanos Sakellaridis$10.1K@ 71.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kdvlklkvlsklkfsStefanos Sakellaridis$94.8K
BUY VWAP 49.6¢·7 fills
0xb4f9…c9a7Stefanos Sakellaridis$53.8K
BUY VWAP 66.8¢·8 fills
778908Mikhail Kukushkin$46.8K
BUY VWAP 73.6¢·3 fills
UpTheBluesMikhail Kukushkin$34.6K
BUY VWAP 59.6¢·23 fills
ferrariChampions2026Stefanos Sakellaridis$31.0K
BUY VWAP 55.7¢·10 fills
UpTheBluesStefanos Sakellaridis$26.5K
BUY VWAP 54.5¢·35 fills
0x2c33…0563Mikhail Kukushkin$25.8K
BUY VWAP 54.1¢·2 fills
0x076d…8d4cStefanos Sakellaridis$24.9K
BUY VWAP 64.9¢·10 fills
hurricanMikhail Kukushkin$15.0K
BUY VWAP 78.4¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Mikhail Kukushkin$13.2K
BUY VWAP 52.9¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.