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FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5

● quote just now
Sports→SoccerCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $15.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $160.9KEvent: FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29 - More Markets

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

2.35¢
Over
97.65¢
Under
1.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution48Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:24 trades$78.5K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Under · $18.9K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$18.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$17.6K@ 55¢·Venusian

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Under pressure: $4.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.0K
6h
−$34.9K
tracked
$78.5K

3 verified profitable wallets: Under · $18.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.1¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 77% · priority 51

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Under or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-02 19:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ligue1.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if FC Lorient and Stade Brestois 29 combine to score 3 or more goals in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between FC Lorient and Stade Brestois 29, scheduled for October 31 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if FC Lorient and Stade Brestois 29 combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligue1.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x8191…da722 linked markets · $7.6K gross
graziek992 linked markets · $5.9K gross
0x127e…3dd82 linked markets · $2.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUnder · $4.0K
6hUnder · $34.9K
24hUnder · $34.8K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current2.35¢
VWAP 24h42.29¢▼ below by 39.9pp
VWAP 7d42.29¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$35.3K
40¢
$39.0K
35¢
$15
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$61
15¢
$144
10¢
$0
5¢
$4.0K
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYUnder$12.9K@ 56.29¢
Zzzz870x2117…5c26
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYOver$13.7K@ 45.0¢
1l2ihj34li12u340xb52e…285c
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYUnder$17.6K@ 55.0¢
Venusian0x2559…b2e3
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

1l2ihj34li12u34Over$21.8K
BUY VWAP 44.77¢·2 fills
0x4924…3782Under$18.0K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·3 fills
VenusianUnder$17.6K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill
Zzzz87Under$12.9K
BUY VWAP 56.29¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.