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India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $237.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $383.5KEvent: India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India
0.1¢
New Zealand
99.9¢
India
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets53Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:264 trades$112.6K trackedsource coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:New Zealand · $24.7K net·13 wallets·$46.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLIndia$11.3K@ 71¢·0x5067…a127

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

New Zealand pressure: $4.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.5K
6h
+$30.5K
tracked
$112.6K

13 verified profitable wallets: New Zealand · $24.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -71.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from New Zealand or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-29 07:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the cricket match between New Zealand and India scheduled for October 22 2026 at 3:00 AM ET in India Tour of New Zealand T20s. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY New Zealand@ 72.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -24.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: New Zealand DOWN 7.6pp · near-book depth $179 → $150 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor New Zealand; negative values favor India. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNew Zealand · $4.5K
6hNew Zealand · $30.5K
24hNew Zealand · $33.4K

New Zealand price VWAP

Volume-weighted New Zealand price. India fills are converted to the complementary New Zealand probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h45.9¢▼ below by 45.8pp
VWAP 7d45.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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New Zealand price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$10.1K
70¢
$29.2K
65¢
$4.4K
60¢
$2.9K
55¢
$1.1K
50¢
$3.7K
45¢
$564
40¢
$16.3K
35¢
$3.4K
30¢
$1.7K
25¢
$17.2K
20¢
$2.0K
15¢
$3.9K
10¢
$2.6K
5¢
$2.5K
0¢
← now
$12.6K

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLIndia$11.3K@ 70.6¢0x5067…a127🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

NonTificantNew Zealand$33.3K
BUY VWAP 73.5¢·11 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.