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Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan

● quote 95 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $153.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $257.4KEvent: Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan
6.1¢
Liam Broady
99.9¢
Akira Santillan
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets25Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:77 trades$108.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 101 min agoofficial metadata 96 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Akira Santillan · $1.6K net·6 wallets·$6.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAkira Santillan$33.8K@ 34¢·kalmal

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$16.2K
tracked
$108.8K

6 verified profitable wallets: Akira Santillan · $1.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +39.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 95 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 101 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 96 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 39.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-29 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Broady and Akira Santillan in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Broady' if Liam Broady advances against Akira Santillan. This market will resolve to 'Akira Santillan' if Akira Santillan advances against Liam Broady. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Liam Broady@ 61.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h INVALIDATED -59.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Akira Santillan@ 40.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h CONFIRMED +57.0pp
Latest book event: Liam Broady DOWN 5.8pp · near-book depth $1.6K → $0 · 16s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Liam Broady; negative values favor Akira Santillan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLiam Broady · $0
6hLiam Broady · $16.2K
24hAkira Santillan · $17.6K

Liam Broady price VWAP

Volume-weighted Liam Broady price. Akira Santillan fills are converted to the complementary Liam Broady probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current6.1¢
VWAP 24h42.8¢▼ below by 36.7pp
VWAP 7d42.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Liam Broady price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$54.5K
60¢
$1.6K
55¢
$8.3K
50¢
$375
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$4.2K
25¢
$7.3K
20¢
$17
15¢
$0
10¢
$655
5¢
← now
$10.4K
0¢
$21.4K

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLiam Broady$20.0K@ 68.4¢
tin543210x91e6…e9c5
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAkira Santillan$33.8K@ 34.0¢
kalmal0x8e46…6c24
🐋—about 10 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Broady vs. Santillan: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$74priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Broady vs. Santillan: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Broady vs. Santillan: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Broady vs. Santillan: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Liam Broady vs. Akira Santillan: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Broady vs. Santillan: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Broady vs. Santillan: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kalmalAkira Santillan$33.8K
BUY VWAP 34.0¢·1 fill
tin54321Liam Broady$20.0K
BUY VWAP 68.4¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesAkira Santillan$10.2K
BUY VWAP 85.9¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.