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Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)

Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeSettlement: LiquidLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $287Event: Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs
0.0¢
NIP payout
100.0¢
Liquid payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:4 trades$39 trackedsource coverage 14%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 102 min agoofficial metadata 19 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Liquid. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-16 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP wins Map 2 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. NIP's round total on Map 2 exceeds Liquid's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Liquid".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between NIP and Liquid in the Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP wins Map 2 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. NIP's round total on Map 2 exceeds Liquid's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Liquid". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 16, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 49m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 49m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x29b5…cc6c5 linked markets · $55.3K gross
aaaa2983 linked markets · $23.2K gross
RN14 linked markets · $8.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor NIP; negative values favor Liquid. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNIP · $39
6hNIP · $39
24hNIP · $39

NIP price VWAP

Volume-weighted NIP price. Liquid fills are converted to the complementary NIP probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h37.5¢▼ below by 37.5pp
VWAP 7d37.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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NIP price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$39
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.