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LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $170.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.8MEvent: LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
6.5¢
FURIA Esports
93.5¢
Cloud9
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection25Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets84Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:197 trades$1.2M tracked8% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cloud9 · $21.3K net·11 wallets·$25.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCloud9$261.5K@ 83¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Cloud9 SETUP
What the tape says

Cloud9 pressure: $289.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$289.4K
6h
−$598.5K
tracked
$1.2M

11 verified profitable wallets: Cloud9 · $21.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 70

Since latest accumulation: -2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cloud9 or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 02:50 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against Cloud9.

•This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against FURIA Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Semifinal match between FURIA Esports and Cloud9 in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against Cloud9. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against FURIA Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1113 linked markets · $830.9K gross
Diabolical-Prize4 linked markets · $385.2K gross
5e46h2 linked markets · $61.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Cloud9@ 96.0¢9m ago
Outcome checks pending
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Cloud9@ 91.0¢18m ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cloud9@ 93.0¢36m ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Cloud957m ago
Outcome checks pending

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FURIA Esports; negative values favor Cloud9. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCloud9 · $289.4K
6hCloud9 · $598.5K
24hCloud9 · $633.2K

FURIA Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted FURIA Esports price. Cloud9 fills are converted to the complementary FURIA Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current6.5¢
VWAP 24h14.7¢▼ below by 8.2pp
VWAP 7d14.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FURIA Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$3.1K
15¢
$854.6K
10¢
$19.1K
5¢
← now
$304.1K
0¢
$10

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCloud9$22.1K@ 91.0¢
dsasdaas0x1e52…eb43
🐋—17 minutes ago
BUYCloud9$213.0K@ 92.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—38 minutes ago
BUYCloud9$40.0K@ 91.1¢
bluemol0x664e…e82a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCloud9$43.0K@ 82.0¢
dsasdaas0x1e52…eb43
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFURIA Esports$59.4K@ 18.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFURIA Esports$37.4K@ 17.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFURIA Esports$35.7K@ 17.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFURIA Esports$67.9K@ 17.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCloud9$10.0K@ 85.0¢
bluemol0x664e…e82a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYCloud9$10.3K@ 84.0¢
SecritHandLucasAo0xbf3b…0375
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYCloud9$18.1K@ 83.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYFURIA Esports$15.1K@ 17.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYCloud9$261.5K@ 83.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYCloud9$141.1K@ 83.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYCloud9$28.5K@ 82.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 12 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)
64.5¢$886.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$832.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner
20.5¢$449.9Kpriority79Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)
85.5¢$140.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
38.5¢$35.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
12.5¢$10.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner
28.5¢$9.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
0.0¢$9.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111Cloud9$662.1K
BUY VWAP 85.7¢·5 fills
Diabolical-PrizeFURIA Esports$241.2K
BUY VWAP 16.6¢·9 fills
dsasdaasCloud9$65.1K
BUY VWAP 84.9¢·2 fills
bluemolCloud9$50.0K
BUY VWAP 89.8¢·2 fills
duratio12Cloud9$20.8K
BUY VWAP 89.1¢·7 fills
halanddd123Cloud9$15.6K
BUY VWAP 84.0¢·2 fills
SecritHandLucasAoCloud9$10.3K
BUY VWAP 84.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.