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LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $113.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $366.2KEvent: LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
61.5¢
FURIA Esports
38.5¢
Cloud9
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection14Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets34Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 92%💡 17 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:190 trades$251.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 69%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cloud9 · $24.5K net·17 wallets·$73.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCloud9$17.8K@ 74¢·fkcvffcjt

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Cloud9 pressure: $35.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$35.0K
6h
−$52.8K
tracked
$251.6K

17 verified profitable wallets: Cloud9 · $24.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 92% · priority 55

Since latest large flow: +19.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 19.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cloud9 or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 02:50 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 3 against Cloud9.

•This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win Game 3 against FURIA Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Semifinal match between FURIA Esports and Cloud9 in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 3 against Cloud9. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win Game 3 against FURIA Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1113 linked markets · $830.9K gross
Diabolical-Prize4 linked markets · $385.2K gross
dsasdaas2 linked markets · $66.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY FURIA Esports9m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY FURIA Esports@ 43.0¢12m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASESELL Cloud915m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWSELL Cloud9@ 70.0¢36m ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp
Latest book event: FURIA Esports UP 8.0pp · near-book depth $786 → $759 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FURIA Esports; negative values favor Cloud9. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCloud9 · $35.0K
6hCloud9 · $52.8K
24hCloud9 · $54.5K

FURIA Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted FURIA Esports price. Cloud9 fills are converted to the complementary FURIA Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current61.5¢
VWAP 24h39.2¢▲ above by 22.3pp
VWAP 7d39.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FURIA Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
← now
$0
55¢
$12.0K
50¢
$9.7K
45¢
$27.0K
40¢
$64.4K
35¢
$92.0K
30¢
$7.2K
25¢
$39.3K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCloud9$12.2K@ 61.0¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋—16 minutes ago
BUYCloud9$10.5K@ 64.0¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9
🐋—17 minutes ago
SELLCloud9$16.1K@ 72.1¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYCloud9$17.8K@ 74.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
35.5¢$3.0Mpriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)
0.1¢$916.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$872.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)
30.5¢$175.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
100.0¢$41.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
52.5¢$11.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
0.0¢$9.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANFURIA Esports$18.9K
BUY VWAP 37.7¢·5 fills
fkcvffcjtCloud9$17.8K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill
SineNooneEICloud9$12.2K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill
minjiCloud9$11.9K
BUY VWAP 49.2¢·7 fills
xytestCloud9$11.6K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·7 fills
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANCloud9$10.5K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
0xheavy888Cloud9$10.1K
BUY VWAP 55.4¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.