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Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Diana Shnaider

Sports→TennisSettlement: Diana ShnaiderLiquidity: $189.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $737.9KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Diana Shnaider
0.0¢
Karolina Muchova payout
100.0¢
Diana Shnaider payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Diana Shnaider · $45.9K net·19 wallets(3🐋)·$93.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDiana Shnaider$27.8K@ 48¢·Velin217

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Diana Shnaider. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-22 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Diana Shnaider in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Diana Shnaider. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Karolina Muchova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 7d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 7d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x0c57…f4b72 linked markets · $8 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Diana Shnaider7d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Karolina Muchova7d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASESELL Diana Shnaider7d ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Diana Shnaider@ 49.0¢7d ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Karolina Muchova; negative values favor Diana Shnaider. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKarolina Muchova · $25.3K
6hDiana Shnaider · $95.1K
24hDiana Shnaider · $96.7K

Karolina Muchova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Karolina Muchova price. Diana Shnaider fills are converted to the complementary Karolina Muchova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h36.1¢▼ below by 36.1pp
VWAP 7d36.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Karolina Muchova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$8.4K
55¢
$44.5K
50¢
$62.3K
45¢
$105.5K
40¢
$12.5K
35¢
$7.7K
30¢
$23.3K
25¢
$6.4K
20¢
$47
15¢
$14.1K
10¢
$30.2K
5¢
$5.6K
0¢
← now
$59.3K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDiana Shnaider$26.5K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—7 days ago
BUYDiana Shnaider$20.6K@ 86.0¢
coinlaundry0xe8d7…1252
🐋—7 days ago
BUYDiana Shnaider$11.1K@ 52.0¢
RN10x2005…75ea
🐋—7 days ago
BUYDiana Shnaider$11.1K@ 52.0¢
RN10x2005…75ea
🐋—7 days ago
BUYDiana Shnaider$27.8K@ 47.6¢
Velin2170x9a5e…cd58
🐋—7 days ago
BUYDiana Shnaider$23.2K@ 48.4¢
Velin2170x9a5e…cd58
🐋—7 days ago
BUYDiana Shnaider$13.0K@ 52.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—7 days ago
BUYKarolina Muchova$11.4K@ 49.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—7 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Velin217Diana Shnaider$51.0K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesKarolina Muchova$39.9K
BUY VWAP 47.6¢·22 fills
UpTheBluesDiana Shnaider$28.3K
BUY VWAP 60.3¢·11 fills
RN1Diana Shnaider$22.2K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·2 fills
coinlaundryDiana Shnaider$20.6K
BUY VWAP 86.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Karolina Muchova$17.5K
BUY VWAP 52.2¢·3 fills
kkookkooDiana Shnaider$13.6K
BUY VWAP 54.9¢·3 fills
KkunnDiana Shnaider$13.0K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.