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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur

Sports→TennisSettlement: Alexander ZverevLiquidity: $265.3KOfficial 24h Vol: —Event: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur
100.0¢
Alexander Zverev payout
0.0¢
Alex de Minaur payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexander Zverev · $53.4K net·15 wallets(1🐋)·$60.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlex de Minaur$12.1K@ 36¢·Kkunn

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Alexander Zverev. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-23 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Alex de Minaur in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 6d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 6d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
neutralwave232 linked markets · $1.8K gross
quavoo3 linked markets · $1.4K gross
0xe121…84da2 linked markets · $11 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Alexander Zverev6d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Zverev@ 85.0¢6d ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Alexander Zverev@ 85.0¢6d ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Zverev; negative values favor Alex de Minaur. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexander Zverev · $4.7K
6hAlexander Zverev · $79.7K
24hAlexander Zverev · $80.9K

Alexander Zverev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Zverev price. Alex de Minaur fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Zverev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h77.8¢▲ above by 22.2pp
VWAP 7d77.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexander Zverev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$32.1K
90¢
$39
85¢
$10.9K
80¢
$46.2K
75¢
$926
70¢
$2.7K
65¢
$25.6K
60¢
$35.4K
55¢
$5.4K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlexander Zverev$11.5K@ 82.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—6 days ago
BUYAlex de Minaur$12.1K@ 35.7¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—6 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesAlexander Zverev$32.7K
BUY VWAP 79.8¢·18 fills
ferrariChampions2026Alexander Zverev$25.6K
BUY VWAP 71.5¢·3 fills
KkunnAlex de Minaur$12.1K
BUY VWAP 35.7¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.