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Spread: Liberty (-8.5)

Sports→American FootballSettlement: LibertyLiquidity: $96.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $134.8KEvent: Liberty vs. Kennesaw State
100.0¢
Liberty payout
0.0¢
Kennesaw State payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLiberty$20.0K@ 52¢·BrotherObama

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Liberty. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-22 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Liberty" if Liberty win the game by 9 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kennesaw State".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 22 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Liberty" if Liberty win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kennesaw State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 10d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 10d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Liberty@ 52.0¢10d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h CONFIRMED +23.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Liberty; negative values favor Kennesaw State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLiberty · $0
6hKennesaw State · $19.0K
24hLiberty · $4.6K

Liberty price VWAP

Volume-weighted Liberty price. Kennesaw State fills are converted to the complementary Liberty probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h51.18¢▲ above by 48.8pp
VWAP 7d51.18¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Liberty price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$2
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$17
65¢
$13
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$63.9K
45¢
$2
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKennesaw State$16.0K@ 50.0¢
BTCGambler2470x31c5…ede4
🐋—10 days ago
BUYLiberty$12.0K@ 52.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—10 days ago
BUYLiberty$20.0K@ 52.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—10 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.