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Eagles vs. Commanders

Sports→American FootballSettlement: CommandersLiquidity: $729.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $4.5MEvent: Eagles vs. Commanders
0.0¢
Eagles payout
100.0¢
Commanders payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:499 trades$1.9M tracked7% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 577 min agoofficial metadata 558 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Commanders · $181.5K net·30 wallets(6🐋)·$601.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEagles$278.2K@ 31¢·surfandturf

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Commanders. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-02 01:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Eagles" if Eagles win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Commanders" if Commanders win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Eagles and Commanders, scheduled for November 1 at 8:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Eagles" if Eagles win the game. This market will resolve to "Commanders" if Commanders win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 10h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 10h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
surfandturf3 linked markets · $335.1K gross
ferrariChampions202613 linked markets · $207.1K gross
0xbc43…96d34 linked markets · $181.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

COUNTER FLOWBUY Commanders@ 77.0¢11h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Eagles DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $76.2K → $39 · 11s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Eagles; negative values favor Commanders. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCommanders · $8.1K
6hEagles · $206.6K
24hEagles · $204.1K

Eagles price VWAP

Volume-weighted Eagles price. Commanders fills are converted to the complementary Eagles probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h36.49¢▼ below by 36.5pp
VWAP 7d36.37¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Eagles price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$6.1K
85¢
$0
80¢
$30.3K
75¢
$221
70¢
$801
65¢
$977
60¢
$104.3K
55¢
$217.4K
50¢
$2.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$185.2K
35¢
$158.2K
30¢
$996.0K
25¢
$95.2K
20¢
$55.0K
15¢
$2.2K
10¢
$8.4K
5¢
$7.5K
0¢
← now
$68.2K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLCommanders$23.9K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYCommanders$54.5K@ 72.0¢
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffd
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYCommanders$12.3K@ 70.0¢
Multicoloured-Serf0x958b…f826
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYEagles$17.8K@ 30.0¢
surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYCommanders$10.4K@ 67.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYCommanders$23.7K@ 67.0¢
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffd
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYEagles$31.4K@ 36.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYCommanders$19.3K@ 64.0¢
cosmicxbt0x9ee4…697b
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYCommanders$15.3K@ 61.0¢0x418d…88a3🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYEagles$39.7K@ 55.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYEagles$51.6K@ 58.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYEagles$53.8K@ 58.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYEagles$26.5K@ 58.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYEagles$51.6K@ 61.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYEagles$30.3K@ 80.37¢
Multicoloured-Serf0x958b…f826
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYCommanders$43.7K@ 60.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYEagles$11.0K@ 44.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYEagles$11.2K@ 44.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYEagles$30.3K@ 44.0¢
KaneAnalytics0x7e3a…3246
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYCommanders$44.4K@ 57.0¢
Multicoloured-Serf0x958b…f826
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYEagles$17.4K@ 43.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYCommanders$20.2K@ 65.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—about 13 hours ago
SELLEagles$15.3K@ 38.0¢0xca01…20e4🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYEagles$15.3K@ 38.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYCommanders$21.3K@ 71.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYCommanders$21.8K@ 70.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYEagles$12.5K@ 31.0¢0xca01…20e4🐋—about 13 hours ago
SELLEagles$13.2K@ 30.0¢0xca01…20e4🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYEagles$15.0K@ 30.0¢
surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYCommanders$270.7K@ 70.0¢
BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYEagles$278.2K@ 31.0¢
surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYCommanders$16.8K@ 70.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYCommanders$14.0K@ 70.0¢0x418d…88a3🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYEagles$10.0K@ 31.0¢
jdfngkdjfnfd0x6f65…172c
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYEagles$14.0K@ 30.0¢
migrodrigues0x9a93…2793
🐋—about 15 hours ago
BUYEagles$25.0K@ 30.0¢
migrodrigues0x9a93…2793
🐋—about 15 hours ago
BUYEagles$69.0K@ 30.0¢
migrodrigues0x9a93…2793
🐋—about 15 hours ago
BUYEagles$21.3K@ 30.0¢
wan1230xde7b…5f4b
🐋—1 day ago
BUYEagles$10.9K@ 30.0¢0xca01…20e4🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

surfandturfEagles$311.0K
BUY VWAP 30.89¢·3 fills
BreakTheBankCommanders$270.7K
BUY VWAP 70.0¢·1 fill
Sassy-BucketEagles$171.6K
BUY VWAP 57.28¢·4 fills
migrodriguesEagles$113.6K
BUY VWAP 30.0¢·4 fills
Multicoloured-SerfEagles$84.2K
BUY VWAP 45.88¢·16 fills
TAIWANNUMBERONECommanders$79.8K
BUY VWAP 70.66¢·3 fills
Multicoloured-SerfCommanders$65.1K
BUY VWAP 59.91¢·4 fills
ferrariChampions2026Eagles$61.1K
BUY VWAP 28.94¢·4 fills
fkcvffcjtCommanders$48.9K
BUY VWAP 64.29¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563Commanders$48.9K
BUY VWAP 56.89¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.