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UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

● quote just now
Sports→Combat SportsCloses: about 19 hoursLiquidity: $147.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $159.6KEvent: UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

41.5¢
Merab Dvalishvili
58.5¢
Petr Yan
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly5Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:84 trades$54.2K trackedsource coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 33 min agoofficial metadata 43s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Petr Yan · $551 net·2 wallets·$4.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPetr Yan$14.8K@ 59¢·rohitkrr

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$200
6h
−$2.7K
tracked
$54.2K

2 verified profitable wallets: Petr Yan · $551 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 33 minutes old.
  • •Less than 20h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-25 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Merab Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Petr Yan" if Petr Yan is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Merab Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Petr Yan" if Petr Yan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Merab Dvalishvili@ 43.0¢12h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Merab Dvalishvili; negative values favor Petr Yan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMerab Dvalishvili · $200
6hPetr Yan · $2.7K
24hMerab Dvalishvili · $30.1K

Merab Dvalishvili price VWAP

Volume-weighted Merab Dvalishvili price. Petr Yan fills are converted to the complementary Merab Dvalishvili probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h41.84¢▼ below by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d41.37¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Merab Dvalishvili price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$129.6K
35¢
$1.4K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPetr Yan$14.8K@ 59.0¢
rohitkrr0x23f2…220a
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

quavooMerab Dvalishvili$37.8K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·36 fills
0cenMerab Dvalishvili$14.9K
BUY VWAP 41.76¢·3 fills
rohitkrrPetr Yan$14.8K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.