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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeSettlement: VitalityLiquidity: $598.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $610.4KEvent: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
0.0¢
Aurora Gaming payout
100.0¢
Vitality payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVitality$26.4K@ 75¢·Sunshine.Smile

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Vitality. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-10 17:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against Vitality.

•This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Aurora Gaming and Vitality in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 10, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Vitality11d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Vitality@ 73.0¢11d ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aurora Gaming; negative values favor Vitality. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAurora Gaming · $3.7K
6hVitality · $66.7K
24hVitality · $66.7K

Aurora Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aurora Gaming price. Vitality fills are converted to the complementary Aurora Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h16.6¢▼ below by 16.6pp
VWAP 7d16.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aurora Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$4.8K
30¢
$9.4K
25¢
$64.5K
20¢
$34.5K
15¢
$6.5K
10¢
$37.9K
5¢
$35.1K
0¢
← now
$43.2K

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYVitality$10.0K@ 73.0¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—11 days ago
BUYVitality$26.4K@ 75.4¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—11 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.