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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin

Sports→TennisSettlement: Francisco CerundoloLiquidity: $121.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $521.7KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin
100.0¢
Francisco Cerundolo payout
0.0¢
Roman Safiullin payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:155 trades$213.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 386 min agoofficial metadata 368 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Francisco Cerundolo · $12.5K net·12 wallets·$26.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$28.2K@ 64¢·xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Francisco Cerundolo. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-17 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Roman Safiullin in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Roman Safiullin. This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Francisco Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Francisco Cerundolo7h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Francisco Cerundolo@ 62.0¢8h ago
15m CONFIRMED +10.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Roman Safiullin@ 36.0¢8h ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Francisco Cerundolo@ 71.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Francisco Cerundolo UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $16.5K → $23.8K · 10s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Francisco Cerundolo; negative values favor Roman Safiullin. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRoman Safiullin · $11.3K
6hRoman Safiullin · $33.7K
24hRoman Safiullin · $32.9K

Francisco Cerundolo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Francisco Cerundolo price. Roman Safiullin fills are converted to the complementary Francisco Cerundolo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h63.1¢▲ above by 36.9pp
VWAP 7d63.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Francisco Cerundolo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$21.7K
90¢
$7.9K
85¢
$330
80¢
$0
75¢
$3.4K
70¢
$2.3K
65¢
$11.4K
60¢
$50.2K
55¢
$49.5K
50¢
$43.3K
45¢
$25.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$28.2K@ 64.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$16.4K@ 63.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYRoman Safiullin$20.0K@ 48.6¢0x760f…326a🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYRoman Safiullin$10.7K@ 51.0¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseFrancisco Cerundolo$48.1K
BUY VWAP 63.5¢·3 fills
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseRoman Safiullin$32.1K
BUY VWAP 43.5¢·9 fills
0x760f…326aRoman Safiullin$20.0K
BUY VWAP 48.6¢·1 fill
LuzzzerRoman Safiullin$19.4K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesFrancisco Cerundolo$12.6K
BUY VWAP 82.7¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.