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Trail Blazers vs. Kings

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: less than a minuteLiquidity: $103.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $210.4KEvent: Trail Blazers vs. Kings
68.5¢
Trail Blazers
31.5¢
Kings
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:135 trades$86.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 27 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Trail Blazers · $3.0K net·4 wallets·$3.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTrail Blazers$21.0K@ 58¢·User1244322

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Trail Blazers pressure: $4.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.5K
6h
+$47.4K
tracked
$86.4K

4 verified profitable wallets: Trail Blazers · $3.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +4.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 27 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Trail Blazers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-14 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to "Trail Blazers".

•If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 13 at 10:00PM ET: If the Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
UpTheBlues6 linked markets · $1.7K gross
kotyakayebaka2 linked markets · $498 gross
Forecastication23 linked markets · $475 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Trail Blazers@ 65.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp
MARKET SWEEPBUY Trail Blazers@ 65.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +3.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Trail Blazers@ 51.0¢9h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -8.0pp6h CONFIRMED +7.0pp
Latest book event: Kings DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $128 → $2.4K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Trail Blazers; negative values favor Kings. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTrail Blazers · $4.5K
6hTrail Blazers · $47.4K
24hTrail Blazers · $67.8K

Trail Blazers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Trail Blazers price. Kings fills are converted to the complementary Trail Blazers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current68.5¢
VWAP 24h55.8¢▲ above by 12.7pp
VWAP 7d55.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Trail Blazers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$4.5K
60¢
$5.4K
55¢
$38.3K
50¢
$33.3K
45¢
$5.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTrail Blazers$21.0K@ 58.0¢
User12443220xe558…dcd2
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTrail Blazers$15.2K@ 51.9¢
askilika0x0979…8d9b
🐋—about 10 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

User1244322Trail Blazers$21.0K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
askilikaTrail Blazers$21.0K
BUY VWAP 52.2¢·4 fills
PwaddlerTrail Blazers$10.9K
BUY VWAP 51.9¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.