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Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays

● quote just now
Sports→BaseballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $82.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $491.7KEvent: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
6.5¢
Cleveland Guardians
93.5¢
Tampa Bay Rays
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection31Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets19Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution84Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:169 trades$243.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tampa Bay Rays · $14.7K net·15 wallets(2🐋)·$77.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTampa Bay Rays$44.5K@ 89¢·chanello

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Tampa Bay Rays pressure: $74.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$74.4K
6h
−$131.5K
tracked
$243.6K

15 verified profitable wallets: Tampa Bay Rays · $14.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 54

Since latest large flow: +3.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Tampa Bay Rays or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 13 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf4 linked markets · $27.3K gross
HomeRunHazard7 linked markets · $21.5K gross
Flaznorp6 linked markets · $9.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 91.0¢9m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 56.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp
Latest book event: Tampa Bay Rays UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $386 → $747 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cleveland Guardians; negative values favor Tampa Bay Rays. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTampa Bay Rays · $74.4K
6hTampa Bay Rays · $131.5K
24hTampa Bay Rays · $131.0K

Cleveland Guardians price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cleveland Guardians price. Tampa Bay Rays fills are converted to the complementary Cleveland Guardians probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current6.5¢
VWAP 24h32.6¢▼ below by 26.1pp
VWAP 7d32.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cleveland Guardians price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$59.0K
40¢
$97.4K
35¢
$1.7K
30¢
$3.0K
25¢
$1.5K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$75.2K
5¢
← now
$7.7K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTampa Bay Rays$44.5K@ 89.0¢
chanello0xf3a6…71bd
🐋—15 minutes ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$17.7K@ 89.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—26 minutes ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$19.5K@ 45.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$29.1K@ 56.0¢0xf3a2…7951🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$10.3K@ 56.0¢0x749b…9f78🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$10.2K@ 56.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

chanelloTampa Bay Rays$44.5K
BUY VWAP 89.0¢·1 fill
0xf3a2…7951Tampa Bay Rays$29.1K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
0F62Tampa Bay Rays$24.3K
BUY VWAP 89.0¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563Cleveland Guardians$19.5K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
0x749b…9f78Tampa Bay Rays$10.3K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49Tampa Bay Rays$10.2K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
kkookkooTampa Bay Rays$10.1K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.