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Seahawks vs. Broncos

● quote 32s ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: 2 daysLiquidity: $748.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $515.2KEvent: Seahawks vs. Broncos
57.5¢
Seahawks
42.5¢
Broncos
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection99Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%
24h sample:3 trades$212.4K tracked33% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 58 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBroncos$210.2K@ 42¢·BreakTheBank

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Broncos pressure: $210.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$210.2K
6h
−$210.2K
tracked
$212.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 58 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Broncos or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-16 00:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if Seahawks win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Broncos" if Broncos win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Seahawks and Broncos, scheduled for October 15 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if Seahawks win the game. This market will resolve to "Broncos" if Broncos win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Broncos@ 43.0¢54m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Seahawks; negative values favor Broncos. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBroncos · $210.2K
6hBroncos · $210.2K
24hBroncos · $212.4K

Seahawks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Seahawks price. Broncos fills are converted to the complementary Seahawks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current57.5¢
VWAP 24h58.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d58.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Seahawks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$212.4K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBroncos$210.2K@ 42.0¢
BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BreakTheBankBroncos$210.2K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.