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Spread: Coastal Carolina (-4.5)

Sports→American FootballCloses: 17 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina
0.0¢
Coastal Carolina
0.0¢
Appalachian State
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:2 trades$199 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 432 min agoofficial metadata 2134 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$199

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 432 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Coastal Carolina" if Coastal Carolina win the game by 5 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Appalachian State".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 16 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Coastal Carolina" if Coastal Carolina win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Appalachian State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $17.3K gross
ArielFilipino2 linked markets · $9.9K gross
quavoo4 linked markets · $8.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Coastal Carolina; negative values favor Appalachian State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCoastal Carolina · $0
6hCoastal Carolina · $0
24hAppalachian State · $199

Coastal Carolina price VWAP

Volume-weighted Coastal Carolina price. Appalachian State fills are converted to the complementary Coastal Carolina probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h34.0¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d34.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Coastal Carolina price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$199
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina
50.5¢$163.2Kpriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Appalachian State (-1.5)
49.5¢$8.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Coastal Carolina (-3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Coastal Carolina (-13.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Appalachian State (-13.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 73.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Appalachian State (-20.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Appalachian State (-16.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.