PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Appalachian State (-1.5)

● quote 483 min ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $8.1KEvent: Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina
49.5¢
Appalachian State
50.5¢
Coastal Carolina
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:4 trades$1.6K trackedsource coverage 19%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 308 min agoofficial metadata 1153 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Appalachian State · $2.6K net·2 wallets·$5.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAppalachian State$4.1K@ 52¢·ArielFilipino

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$1.5K
tracked
$1.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: Appalachian State · $2.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 483 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 308 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 1153 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Appalachian State" if Appalachian State win the game by 2 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Coastal Carolina".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 16 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Appalachian State" if Appalachian State win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Coastal Carolina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ArielFilipino2 linked markets · $9.9K gross
quavoo4 linked markets · $5.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Appalachian State; negative values favor Coastal Carolina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAppalachian State · $0
6hCoastal Carolina · $1.5K
24hCoastal Carolina · $1.6K

Appalachian State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Appalachian State price. Coastal Carolina fills are converted to the complementary Appalachian State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h49.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d50.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Appalachian State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$4.1K
45¢
← now
$1.6K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina
51.5¢$136.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Coastal Carolina (-5.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Appalachian State (-3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Appalachian State (-10.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Appalachian State (-6.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Coastal Carolina (-4.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Appalachian State (-2.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Coastal Carolina (-0.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.