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Antofagasta: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nick Hardt

Sports→Settlement: Nick HardtLiquidity: $568.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $375.0KEvent: Antofagasta: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nick Hardt
0.0¢
Gonzalo Villanueva payout
100.0¢
Nick Hardt payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:108 trades$89.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 68 min agoofficial metadata 36 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Gonzalo Villanueva · $16.7K net·13 wallets·$33.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGonzalo Villanueva$14.4K@ 66¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Nick Hardt. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-12 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Gonzalo Villanueva and Nick Hardt in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gonzalo Villanueva' if Gonzalo Villanueva advances against Nick Hardt. This market will resolve to 'Nick Hardt' if Nick Hardt advances against Gonzalo Villanueva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Nick Hardt UP 10.5pp · near-book depth $447 → $654 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Gonzalo Villanueva; negative values favor Nick Hardt. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGonzalo Villanueva · $14.6K
6hGonzalo Villanueva · $34.7K
24hGonzalo Villanueva · $34.7K

Gonzalo Villanueva price VWAP

Volume-weighted Gonzalo Villanueva price. Nick Hardt fills are converted to the complementary Gonzalo Villanueva probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h48.7¢▼ below by 48.7pp
VWAP 7d48.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Gonzalo Villanueva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$3.0K
80¢
$1.1K
75¢
$6
70¢
$150
65¢
$14.5K
60¢
$4.1K
55¢
$14.4K
50¢
$18.8K
45¢
$2.7K
40¢
$2.4K
35¢
$14.5K
30¢
$3.7K
25¢
$2.6K
20¢
$1.0K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$6.6K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGonzalo Villanueva$14.4K@ 65.6¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooGonzalo Villanueva$14.4K
BUY VWAP 65.6¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.