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Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries

Sports→BasketballSettlement: Golden State ValkyriesLiquidity: $223.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $403.3KEvent: Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries
0.0¢
Las Vegas Aces payout
100.0¢
Golden State Valkyries payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Golden State Valkyries · $1.8K net·14 wallets·$28.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLas Vegas Aces$46.1K@ 51¢·0x0c15…9a45

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Golden State Valkyries. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-04 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces".

•If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for October 4 at 4:00PM ET: If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces". If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 5d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 5d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Las Vegas Aces@ 51.0¢5d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Las Vegas Aces@ 51.0¢5d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Las Vegas Aces; negative values favor Golden State Valkyries. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLas Vegas Aces · $15.5K
6hLas Vegas Aces · $78.7K
24hLas Vegas Aces · $78.7K

Las Vegas Aces price VWAP

Volume-weighted Las Vegas Aces price. Golden State Valkyries fills are converted to the complementary Las Vegas Aces probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h38.1¢▼ below by 38.1pp
VWAP 7d38.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Las Vegas Aces price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$5
50¢
$90.5K
45¢
$6.8K
40¢
$1.2K
35¢
$3.8K
30¢
$2
25¢
$7.1K
20¢
$5.3K
15¢
$6.1K
10¢
$2.8K
5¢
$7.5K
0¢
← now
$17.3K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLas Vegas Aces$20.9K@ 51.0¢0x0c15…9a45🐋—5 days ago
BUYLas Vegas Aces$46.1K@ 51.0¢0x0c15…9a45🐋—5 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x0c15…9a45Las Vegas Aces$67.0K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.