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China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys

Sports→TennisSettlement: Alex de MinaurLiquidity: $172.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $733.8KEvent: China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys
100.0¢
Alex de Minaur payout
0.0¢
Quentin Halys payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAlex de Minaur$46.4K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Alex de Minaur. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-09 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Quentin Halys in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Quentin Halys. This market will resolve to 'Quentin Halys' if Quentin Halys advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Quentin Halys28d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Quentin Halys@ 68.0¢28d ago
15m INVALIDATED -36.0pp1h INVALIDATED -62.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Quentin Halys28d ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Quentin Halys@ 83.0¢28d ago
15m CONFIRMED +7.0pp1h INVALIDATED -43.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alex de Minaur; negative values favor Quentin Halys. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hQuentin Halys · $33.8K
6hQuentin Halys · $40.6K
24hQuentin Halys · $28.5K

Alex de Minaur price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alex de Minaur price. Quentin Halys fills are converted to the complementary Alex de Minaur probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h60.45¢▲ above by 39.5pp
VWAP 7d60.45¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alex de Minaur price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$84.0K
90¢
$21.8K
85¢
$1.1K
80¢
$114
75¢
$0
70¢
$26.1K
65¢
$30.5K
60¢
$11.2K
55¢
$14.1K
50¢
$17.2K
45¢
$10.5K
40¢
$12.7K
35¢
$975
30¢
$111
25¢
$11.2K
20¢
$16.8K
15¢
$10.7K
10¢
$45.9K
5¢
$2.6K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAlex de Minaur$46.4K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—28 days ago
BUYAlex de Minaur$18.9K@ 65.49¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—28 days ago
BUYQuentin Halys$13.3K@ 89.0¢
Arcus-AI0x1fb7…fb66
🐋—28 days ago
BUYAlex de Minaur$12.1K@ 73.0¢
Vps10xb2d2…3910
🐋—29 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.