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Queretaro: Nadia Podoroska vs Carole Monnet

● quote 495 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $158.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $482.8KEvent: Queretaro: Nadia Podoroska vs Carole Monnet

Indicative prices · 495 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Nadia Podoroska
99.95¢
Carole Monnet
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:114 trades$175.4K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 535 min agoofficial metadata 497 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Carole Monnet · $12.1K net·14 wallets(1🐋)·$37.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNadia Podoroska$45.2K@ 67¢·horrocrux

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$175.4K

14 verified profitable wallets: Carole Monnet · $12.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 495 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 535 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 497 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-06 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nadia Podoroska and Carole Monnet in the Queretaro, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nadia Podoroska' if Nadia Podoroska advances against Carole Monnet. This market will resolve to 'Carole Monnet' if Carole Monnet advances against Nadia Podoroska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Nadia Podoroska11h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Nadia Podoroska@ 60.0¢11h ago
15m CONFIRMED +31.0pp1h INVALIDATED -8.3pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Carole Monnet UP 5.3pp · near-book depth $1.4K → $16.4K · 31s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nadia Podoroska; negative values favor Carole Monnet. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNadia Podoroska · $0
6hNadia Podoroska · $0
24hNadia Podoroska · $90.4K

Nadia Podoroska price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nadia Podoroska price. Carole Monnet fills are converted to the complementary Nadia Podoroska probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h58.12¢▼ below by 58.1pp
VWAP 7d58.12¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nadia Podoroska price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$100
90¢
$2.8K
85¢
$18
80¢
$8.1K
75¢
$121
70¢
$14.8K
65¢
$91.5K
60¢
$13.2K
55¢
$1.2K
50¢
$6.2K
45¢
$9.9K
40¢
$311
35¢
$163
30¢
$3.5K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$5
5¢
$22.7K
0¢
← now
$763

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCarole Monnet$17.1K@ 93.0¢
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh0x0d6a…aa98
🐋—about 9 hours ago
BUYNadia Podoroska$10.9K@ 72.04¢
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh0x0d6a…aa98
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYNadia Podoroska$40.0K@ 68.31¢
horrocrux0xa31c…bdf7
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYNadia Podoroska$45.2K@ 67.14¢
horrocrux0xa31c…bdf7
🐋—about 11 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Podoroska vs. Monnet: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Podoroska vs. Monnet: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Nadia Podoroska (-1.5) vs Carole Monnet (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Podoroska vs. Monnet: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider
—$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
18.5¢$878.9Kpriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot
—$677.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu
—$660.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

horrocruxNadia Podoroska$97.5K
BUY VWAP 68.31¢·5 fills
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCarole Monnet$18.8K
BUY VWAP 90.18¢·2 fills
keeptheblueflagflyinghighNadia Podoroska$12.4K
BUY VWAP 68.44¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.