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China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Kimberly Birrell

Sports→TennisSettlement: Marie BouzkovaLiquidity: $180.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $279.4KEvent: China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Kimberly Birrell
100.0¢
Marie Bouzkova payout
0.0¢
Kimberly Birrell payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Marie Bouzkova · $20.9K net·7 wallets·$34.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKimberly Birrell$19.1K@ 29¢·Luzzzer

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Marie Bouzkova. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-09 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Bouzkova and Kimberly Birrell in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Bouzkova' if Marie Bouzkova advances against Kimberly Birrell. This market will resolve to 'Kimberly Birrell' if Kimberly Birrell advances against Marie Bouzkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Marie Bouzkova@ 95.0¢6d ago
15m INVALIDATED -18.9pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Kimberly Birrell@ 44.0¢6d ago
15m INVALIDATED -33.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marie Bouzkova; negative values favor Kimberly Birrell. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKimberly Birrell · $2.1K
6hKimberly Birrell · $15.8K
24hKimberly Birrell · $15.8K

Marie Bouzkova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marie Bouzkova price. Kimberly Birrell fills are converted to the complementary Marie Bouzkova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h71.5¢▲ above by 28.5pp
VWAP 7d71.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marie Bouzkova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.5K
90¢
$3.6K
85¢
$15.5K
80¢
$3.5K
75¢
$6
70¢
$20.2K
65¢
$10.2K
60¢
$2.7K
55¢
$6.1K
50¢
$10.2K
45¢
$4.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKimberly Birrell$19.1K@ 29.5¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—6 days ago
BUYKimberly Birrell$10.0K@ 32.2¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—6 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

LuzzzerKimberly Birrell$29.1K
BUY VWAP 30.4¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesMarie Bouzkova$18.9K
BUY VWAP 80.8¢·13 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.