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Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeSettlement: fnaticLiquidity: $101.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $200.4KEvent: Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
100.0¢
fnatic payout
0.0¢
Phantom payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPhantom$24.9K@ 37¢·lllllllIlll

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome fnatic. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-07 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win the match against Phantom.

•This market will resolve to "Phantom" if Phantom win the match against fnatic.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between fnatic and Phantom in the 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win the match against Phantom. This market will resolve to "Phantom" if Phantom win the match against fnatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY fnatic@ 64.0¢15d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Phantom@ 38.0¢15d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h INVALIDATED -3.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor fnatic; negative values favor Phantom. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhantom · $2.3K
6hfnatic · $18.4K
24hPhantom · $14.5K

fnatic price VWAP

Volume-weighted fnatic price. Phantom fills are converted to the complementary fnatic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h66.8¢▲ above by 33.2pp
VWAP 7d66.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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fnatic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$10.0K
90¢
$3
85¢
$0
80¢
$34
75¢
$241
70¢
$2.0K
65¢
$2.2K
60¢
$54.6K
55¢
$2.0K
50¢
$100
45¢
$541
40¢
$0
35¢
$2.8K
30¢
$1.0K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYfnatic$20.0K@ 63.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—15 days ago
BUYPhantom$24.9K@ 37.0¢
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770
🐋—15 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.