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Japan Open Tennis Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Rafael Jodar

Sports→TennisSettlement: Adolfo VallejoLiquidity: $489.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $387.9KEvent: Japan Open Tennis Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Rafael Jodar
100.0¢
Adolfo Vallejo payout
0.0¢
Rafael Jodar payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAdolfo Vallejo$24.0K@ 93¢·beeemw

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Adolfo Vallejo. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-08 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Rafael Jodar in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Rafael Jodar. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Adolfo Vallejo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Rafael Jodar@ 80.0¢25d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Adolfo Vallejo; negative values favor Rafael Jodar. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAdolfo Vallejo · $11.6K
6hRafael Jodar · $15.8K
24hRafael Jodar · $26.5K

Adolfo Vallejo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Adolfo Vallejo price. Rafael Jodar fills are converted to the complementary Adolfo Vallejo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h64.53¢▲ above by 35.5pp
VWAP 7d64.53¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Adolfo Vallejo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$32.1K
90¢
$37.2K
85¢
$9.6K
80¢
$5.4K
75¢
$3.8K
70¢
$5.0K
65¢
$14.0K
60¢
$1.4K
55¢
$16.6K
50¢
$15.3K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$227
30¢
$5.0K
25¢
$0
20¢
$44.4K
15¢
$4.0K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAdolfo Vallejo$18.5K@ 99.9¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—25 days ago
BUYAdolfo Vallejo$24.0K@ 93.41¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—25 days ago
BUYRafael Jodar$19.7K@ 80.0¢
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23
🐋—25 days ago
BUYRafael Jodar$11.6K@ 79.0¢
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23
🐋—25 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.