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China Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Alina Charaeva

Sports→TennisSettlement: Alina CharaevaLiquidity: $157.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $519.0KEvent: China Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Alina Charaeva
0.0¢
Yulia Starodubtseva payout
100.0¢
Alina Charaeva payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYulia Starodubtseva$59.3K@ 78¢·Kev69

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Alina Charaeva. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-07 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yulia Starodubtseva and Alina Charaeva in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yulia Starodubtseva' if Yulia Starodubtseva advances against Alina Charaeva. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Yulia Starodubtseva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 12d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Yulia Starodubtseva@ 86.0¢13d ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h INVALIDATED -40.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yulia Starodubtseva; negative values favor Alina Charaeva. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYulia Starodubtseva · $0
6hYulia Starodubtseva · $68.4K
24hYulia Starodubtseva · $68.4K

Yulia Starodubtseva price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yulia Starodubtseva price. Alina Charaeva fills are converted to the complementary Yulia Starodubtseva probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h50.4¢▼ below by 50.4pp
VWAP 7d50.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yulia Starodubtseva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$7.4K
80¢
$43
75¢
$71.3K
70¢
$202
65¢
$24.5K
60¢
$2
55¢
$511
50¢
$7
45¢
$7.2K
40¢
$62
35¢
$3.9K
30¢
$1.4K
25¢
$2.5K
20¢
$7.1K
15¢
$10.7K
10¢
$8.2K
5¢
$17.9K
0¢
← now
$16.3K

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAlina Charaeva$15.9K@ 99.9¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—13 days ago
BUYYulia Starodubtseva$59.3K@ 77.7¢
Kev690x1250…8f99
🐋—13 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.