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China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac

Sports→TennisSettlement: Tomas MachacLiquidity: $817.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $803.9KEvent: China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac
0.0¢
Yannick Hanfmann payout
100.0¢
Tomas Machac payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Tomas Machac. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-05 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Tomas Machac in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Hanfmann' if Yannick Hanfmann advances against Tomas Machac. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Yannick Hanfmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Yannick Hanfmann@ 46.0¢31d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Tomas Machac@ 88.0¢31d ago
15m INVALIDATED -44.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Tomas Machac@ 73.0¢31d ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +18.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yannick Hanfmann; negative values favor Tomas Machac. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYannick Hanfmann · $149.0K
6hYannick Hanfmann · $114.4K
24hYannick Hanfmann · $114.4K

Yannick Hanfmann price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yannick Hanfmann price. Tomas Machac fills are converted to the complementary Yannick Hanfmann probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h29.27¢▼ below by 29.3pp
VWAP 7d29.27¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTomas Machac$13.5K@ 99.9¢0x28f5…0450🐋—about 1 month ago
SELLTomas Machac$20.9K@ 99.9¢
Gambler6610x4419…fcf4
🐋—about 1 month ago
SELLTomas Machac$12.1K@ 99.9¢
0xc1acc10x7f61…293d
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYYannick Hanfmann$38.2K@ 46.57¢
lfjlwkflwekfl0xae95…17b8
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYYannick Hanfmann$45.7K@ 54.72¢
lfjlwkflwekfl0xae95…17b8
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYTomas Machac$10.0K@ 73.96¢0x28f5…0450🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYTomas Machac$11.5K@ 70.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYTomas Machac$15.5K@ 67.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYTomas Machac$10.3K@ 53.42¢
johnny2340xd38a…8d26
🐋—about 1 month ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.