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Korea Open: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $30.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $645.0KEvent: Korea Open: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell
32.0¢
Katie Volynets
68.0¢
Kimberly Birrell
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets73Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution80Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 18 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:283 trades$206.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 27 min agoofficial metadata 33s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Katie Volynets · $17.4K net·18 wallets·$23.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKimberly Birrell$24.4K@ 85¢·donaldbush

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$46
6h
+$1.2K
tracked
$206.2K

18 verified profitable wallets: Katie Volynets · $17.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 27 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-02 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Katie Volynets and Kimberly Birrell in the Korea Open, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katie Volynets' if Katie Volynets advances against Kimberly Birrell. This market will resolve to 'Kimberly Birrell' if Kimberly Birrell advances against Katie Volynets. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Katie Volynets@ 83.0¢17h ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp1h INVALIDATED -61.0pp6h INVALIDATED -53.0pp
Latest book event: Kimberly Birrell UP 7.5pp · near-book depth $203 → $61.8K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Katie Volynets; negative values favor Kimberly Birrell. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKimberly Birrell · $46
6hKatie Volynets · $1.2K
24hKatie Volynets · $41.3K

Katie Volynets price VWAP

Volume-weighted Katie Volynets price. Kimberly Birrell fills are converted to the complementary Katie Volynets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current32.0¢
VWAP 24h46.0¢▼ below by 14.0pp
VWAP 7d46.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Katie Volynets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$120
85¢
$7.7K
80¢
$24.5K
75¢
$2.4K
70¢
$22.4K
65¢
$16.0K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.7K
45¢
$1.4K
40¢
$10.5K
35¢
$20.2K
30¢
← now
$61.8K
25¢
$1.3K
20¢
$4.0K
15¢
$30.9K
10¢
$1.2K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLKimberly Birrell$10.4K@ 64.9¢
watcherz880xc5a2…6dd9
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYKimberly Birrell$10.0K@ 69.4¢
watcherz880xc5a2…6dd9
🐋—about 14 hours ago
SELLKimberly Birrell$10.8K@ 69.1¢
ORI-0x3414…51a1
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYKimberly Birrell$24.4K@ 85.0¢
donaldbush0x66b2…0fdf
🐋—about 17 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

donaldbushKimberly Birrell$24.4K
BUY VWAP 85.0¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesKatie Volynets$20.4K
BUY VWAP 74.5¢·31 fills
watcherz88Kimberly Birrell$11.1K
BUY VWAP 69.3¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Katie Volynets$10.8K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.