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San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez

● quote 17s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $144.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $309.7KEvent: San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez
100.0¢
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
0.1¢
Federico Agustin Gomez
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:75 trades$145.2K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 51s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Federico Agustin Gomez · $2.1K net·5 wallets·$2.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIgor Ribeiro Marcondes$17.2K@ 89¢·HVAB

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes pressure: $1.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.5K
6h
−$607
tracked
$145.2K

5 verified profitable wallets: Federico Agustin Gomez · $2.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -53.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 22 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Igor Ribeiro Marcondes or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-02 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Igor Ribeiro Marcondes and Federico Agustin Gomez in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Igor Ribeiro Marcondes' if Igor Ribeiro Marcondes advances against Federico Agustin Gomez. This market will resolve to 'Federico Agustin Gomez' if Federico Agustin Gomez advances against Igor Ribeiro Marcondes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Federico Agustin Gomez2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Federico Agustin Gomez2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Federico Agustin Gomez@ 54.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +23.0pp1h INVALIDATED -40.0pp
MARKET SWEEPBUY Federico Agustin Gomez@ 51.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +27.0pp1h INVALIDATED -29.0pp
Latest book event: Federico Agustin Gomez DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $54 → $9.8K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Igor Ribeiro Marcondes; negative values favor Federico Agustin Gomez. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIgor Ribeiro Marcondes · $1.5K
6hFederico Agustin Gomez · $607
24hFederico Agustin Gomez · $2.2K

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes price VWAP

Volume-weighted Igor Ribeiro Marcondes price. Federico Agustin Gomez fills are converted to the complementary Igor Ribeiro Marcondes probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h61.5¢▲ above by 38.4pp
VWAP 7d61.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$14.6K
90¢
$8.7K
85¢
$25.1K
80¢
$13.3K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$10.7K
50¢
$16.7K
45¢
$2.7K
40¢
$13.5K
35¢
$19.6K
30¢
$0
25¢
$130
20¢
$11.7K
15¢
$8.5K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYIgor Ribeiro Marcondes$17.2K@ 89.0¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—40 minutes ago
SELLIgor Ribeiro Marcondes$11.1K@ 82.6¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—43 minutes ago
BUYIgor Ribeiro Marcondes$10.9K@ 52.1¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFederico Agustin Gomez$10.0K@ 43.9¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFederico Agustin Gomez$10.0K@ 62.6¢
Runemup0x75f2…ff6d
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RunemupFederico Agustin Gomez$22.0K
BUY VWAP 61.4¢·3 fills
HVABIgor Ribeiro Marcondes$17.2K
BUY VWAP 89.0¢·1 fill
AntblackIgor Ribeiro Marcondes$10.9K
BUY VWAP 52.1¢·1 fill
AntblackFederico Agustin Gomez$10.0K
BUY VWAP 43.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.