Spread: Cardinals (-2.5)

● quote 40s ago
Sports→Closes: about 19 hoursLiquidity: $349.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $262.6KEvent: Cardinals vs. Giants
49.5¢
Cardinals
50.5¢
Giants
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0direction0wallets13execution93priority0data 62%💡 3 smart
24h sample:6 trades$129.8K tracked50% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 111 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cardinals · $17.4K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$37.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGiants$91.4K@ 50¢·mooseborzoii

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$91.3K
tracked
$129.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: Cardinals · $17.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Since latest position change: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 111 minutes old.
  • •Less than 19h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cardinals" if the Cardinals win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Giants".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Cardinals and Giants, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cardinals" if the Cardinals win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Giants". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoii3 linked markets · $157.7K gross
maz262 linked markets · $84.0K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $13.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Cardinals@ 50.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Giants@ 51.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cardinals@ 51.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hCardinals · $0
6hGiants · $91.3K
24hGiants · $92.1K

Cardinals price VWAP

Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h50.1¢▼ below by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d49.9¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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Cardinals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$134.7K
45¢
← now
$11.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYGiants$91.4K@ 50.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYCardinals$18.8K@ 50.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYGiants$11.2K@ 49.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mooseborzoiiGiants$102.6K
BUY VWAP 49.9¢·2 fills
maz26Cardinals$18.8K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.