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Cardinals vs. Giants

● quote 37s ago
Sports→Closes: about 19 hoursLiquidity: $760.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $218.5KEvent: Cardinals vs. Giants
56.5¢
Cardinals
43.5¢
Giants
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets12Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:11 trades$99.8K tracked45% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 157 min agoofficial metadata 13s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cardinals · $25.3K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$62.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGiants$30.0K@ 43¢·mooseborzoii

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$48
tracked
$99.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: Cardinals · $25.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 157 minutes old.
  • •Less than 19h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Cardinals wins, the market will resolve to "Cardinals".

•If Giants wins, the market will resolve to "Giants".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00PM ET: If Cardinals wins, the market will resolve to "Cardinals". If Giants wins, the market will resolve to "Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoii3 linked markets · $157.7K gross
maz262 linked markets · $84.0K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $13.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Cardinals@ 57.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Giants@ 44.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Giants@ 44.0¢17h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cardinals; negative values favor Giants. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCardinals · $0
6hCardinals · $48
24hGiants · $22.5K

Cardinals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cardinals price. Giants fills are converted to the complementary Cardinals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current56.5¢
VWAP 24h56.4¢▲ above by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d56.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cardinals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$114.2K
50¢
$9.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCardinals$13.9K@ 56.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYCardinals$22.7K@ 56.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYGiants$16.7K@ 44.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYGiants$12.7K@ 43.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYGiants$30.0K@ 43.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—about 18 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Cardinals (-2.5)
49.5¢$262.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cardinals vs. Giants: O/U 43.5
51.5¢$71.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
21.5¢$1.5Mpriority82Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
37.5¢$754.9Kpriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$653.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Packers vs. Buccaneers
60.5¢$492.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colts vs. Commanders
66.5¢$445.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$445.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mooseborzoiiGiants$42.8K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·2 fills
maz26Cardinals$38.5K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·3 fills
maz26Giants$18.4K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.