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Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 2 daysLiquidity: $331.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $204.2KEvent: Seahawks vs. Commanders
50.5¢
Seahawks
49.5¢
Commanders
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets60Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:17 trades$98.9K tracked12% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Seahawks · $136.9K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$150.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSeahawks$71.2K@ 50¢·maz26

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Seahawks SETUP
What the tape says

Seahawks pressure: $10.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$10.4K
6h
+$85.2K
tracked
$98.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: Seahawks · $136.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 60

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Seahawks or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if the Seahawks win the game by 8 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Seahawks and Commanders, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if the Seahawks win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Seahawks@ 51.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Seahawks@ 50.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Seahawks@ 50.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Seahawks; negative values favor Commanders. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSeahawks · $10.4K
6hSeahawks · $85.2K
24hSeahawks · $84.8K

Seahawks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Seahawks price. Commanders fills are converted to the complementary Seahawks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h50.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d49.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Seahawks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$88.2K
45¢
$75.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSeahawks$10.4K@ 51.0¢
Pwaddler0x1d1a…0df6
🐋—11 minutes ago
BUYSeahawks$71.2K@ 50.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSeahawks$12.6K@ 49.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—1 day ago
BUYSeahawks$17.8K@ 48.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

maz26Seahawks$136.8K
BUY VWAP 49.4¢·9 fills
PwaddlerSeahawks$10.4K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.