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Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 2 Winner

Sports→Settlement: Natus VincereLiquidity: $430.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $819.4KEvent: Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
100.0¢
Natus Vincere payout
0.0¢
1win payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:1win · $8.6K net·29 wallets·$44.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUY1win$22.7K@ 55¢·sdfqq1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Natus Vincere. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-22 16:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against 1win.

•This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 2 against Natus Vincere.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Natus Vincere and 1win in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against 1win. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 22, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $82.5K gross
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $61.1K gross
Netrol2 linked markets · $59.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Natus Vincere1d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Natus Vincere1d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY 1win@ 47.0¢1d ago
15m INVALIDATED -42.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Natus Vincere@ 55.0¢1d ago
15m CONFIRMED +39.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Natus Vincere price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$85.5K
90¢
$8.0K
85¢
$1.0K
80¢
$3.0K
75¢
$9.7K
70¢
$17.9K
65¢
$12.3K
60¢
$6.2K
55¢
$9.1K
50¢
$75.4K
45¢
$71.4K
40¢
$7.7K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUY1win$22.7K@ 55.0¢
sdfqq10xce7d…898e
🐋—1 day ago
BUYNatus Vincere$10.2K@ 51.9¢
EsportsAI0xb1ce…3991
🐋—1 day ago
BUY1win$10.0K@ 50.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—1 day ago
BUYNatus Vincere$15.3K@ 49.2¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

sdfqq11win$22.7K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill
EsportsAINatus Vincere$17.9K
BUY VWAP 51.1¢·2 fills
0xe16d…5e301win$17.0K
BUY VWAP 51.8¢·4 fills
Sunshine.SmileNatus Vincere$15.3K
BUY VWAP 49.2¢·1 fill
ribalkaNatus Vincere$13.8K
BUY VWAP 71.4¢·6 fills
Netrol1win$11.5K
BUY VWAP 45.8¢·4 fills
PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTRNatus Vincere$10.0K
BUY VWAP 76.6¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.