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Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $409.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $242.6KEvent: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
44.5¢
Tampa Bay Rays
55.5¢
New York Yankees
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly8Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets31Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:30 trades$103.8K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:New York Yankees · $10.9K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$23.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNew York Yankees$36.4K@ 55¢·Pwaddler

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$196
6h
−$67.3K
tracked
$103.8K

2 verified profitable wallets: New York Yankees · $10.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-30 23:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

•This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 23 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $34.9K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $10.3K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $6.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY New York Yankees@ 56.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 42.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp6h STALLED +2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tampa Bay Rays; negative values favor New York Yankees. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNew York Yankees · $196
6hNew York Yankees · $67.3K
24hNew York Yankees · $30.9K

Tampa Bay Rays price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tampa Bay Rays price. New York Yankees fills are converted to the complementary Tampa Bay Rays probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current44.5¢
VWAP 24h43.6¢▲ above by 0.9pp
VWAP 7d43.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tampa Bay Rays price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$64.0K
40¢
← now
$39.8K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNew York Yankees$36.4K@ 55.0¢
Pwaddler0x1d1a…0df6
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYNew York Yankees$11.7K@ 55.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$26.7K@ 41.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 10 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

PwaddlerNew York Yankees$36.4K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill
SDTradingTampa Bay Rays$26.7K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026New York Yankees$11.7K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.