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Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $232.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $434.7KEvent: Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty
62.5¢
Atlanta Dream
37.5¢
New York Liberty
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection63Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:80 trades$201.3K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Atlanta Dream · $3.1K net·2 wallets·$3.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAtlanta Dream$90.3K@ 60¢·dsasdaas

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Atlanta Dream pressure: $126.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$126.6K
6h
+$185.8K
tracked
$201.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: Atlanta Dream · $3.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Atlanta Dream or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-24 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream".

•If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 23 at 8:00PM ET: If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Atlanta Dream@ 63.0¢10m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Atlanta Dream@ 61.0¢57m ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Atlanta Dream@ 61.0¢57m ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Atlanta Dream@ 60.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Atlanta Dream; negative values favor New York Liberty. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAtlanta Dream · $126.6K
6hAtlanta Dream · $185.8K
24hAtlanta Dream · $192.2K

Atlanta Dream price VWAP

Volume-weighted Atlanta Dream price. New York Liberty fills are converted to the complementary Atlanta Dream probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current62.5¢
VWAP 24h58.4¢▲ above by 4.1pp
VWAP 7d58.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Atlanta Dream price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
← now
$173.6K
55¢
$3.5K
50¢
$3.5K
45¢
$18.6K
40¢
$2.1K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAtlanta Dream$90.3K@ 60.0¢
dsasdaas0x1e52…eb43
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Dream$10.2K@ 60.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Dream$25.2K@ 60.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Dream$15.0K@ 60.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

dsasdaasAtlanta Dream$90.3K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill
quavooAtlanta Dream$54.5K
BUY VWAP 58.4¢·31 fills
mooseborzoiAtlanta Dream$33.8K
BUY VWAP 59.1¢·13 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.