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Texas A&M vs. LSU

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $159.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $143.6KEvent: Texas A&M vs. LSU
23.5¢
Texas A&M
76.5¢
LSU
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection78Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:15 trades$28.0K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 20%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 48 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:LSU · $30.0K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$35.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLSU$22.0K@ 76¢·maz26

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

LSU pressure: $22.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$22.0K
6h
−$25.1K
tracked
$28.0K

4 verified profitable wallets: LSU · $30.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 48 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from LSU or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-26 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game.

•This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Texas A&M and LSU, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game. This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r2 linked markets · $75.3K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $10.6K gross
ic4cream2 linked markets · $3.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY LSU@ 77.0¢35m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Texas A&M@ 25.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Texas A&M; negative values favor LSU. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLSU · $22.0K
6hLSU · $25.1K
24hLSU · $26.0K

Texas A&M price VWAP

Volume-weighted Texas A&M price. LSU fills are converted to the complementary Texas A&M probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current23.5¢
VWAP 24h24.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d23.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Texas A&M price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$3.5K
20¢
← now
$63.9K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLSU$22.0K@ 76.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTexas A&M$16.1K@ 24.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

wr0ngw4yb3tt0rTexas A&M$27.9K
BUY VWAP 24.0¢·5 fills
maz26LSU$22.0K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.