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LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

● quote 2 min ago
Sports→Closes: 43 minutesLiquidity: $462.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $729.5KEvent: LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs
100.0¢
FURIA Esports
0.1¢
RED Canids
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection48Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets8Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 23 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:288 trades$264.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:RED Canids · $10.2K net·23 wallets(1🐋)·$124.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLFURIA Esports$59.1K@ 100¢·jaytee158

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

RED Canids pressure: $127.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$127.8K
6h
−$83.0K
tracked
$264.6K

23 verified profitable wallets: RED Canids · $10.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +15.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 15.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from RED Canids or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-26 22:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against RED Canids.

•This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win the match against FURIA Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Semifinal match between FURIA Esports and RED Canids in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against RED Canids. This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win the match against FURIA Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e4 linked markets · $48.4K gross
asfg1rr1s4 linked markets · $33.3K gross
5e46h4 linked markets · $27.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY FURIA Esports@ 85.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +5.0pp
Latest book event: FURIA Esports UP 11.0pp · near-book depth $425 → $6.9K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FURIA Esports; negative values favor RED Canids. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRED Canids · $127.8K
6hRED Canids · $83.0K
24hRED Canids · $65.6K

FURIA Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted FURIA Esports price. RED Canids fills are converted to the complementary FURIA Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h87.6¢▲ above by 12.3pp
VWAP 7d87.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FURIA Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$141.2K
90¢
$224
85¢
$10.3K
80¢
$59.5K
75¢
$1.9K
70¢
$15.4K
65¢
$7.1K
60¢
$2.9K
55¢
$4.8K
50¢
$6.1K
45¢
$13.5K
40¢
$511
35¢
$260
30¢
$0
25¢
$741
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFURIA Esports$46.7K@ 99.9¢
ezMerge0x4638…6b0a
🐋—13 minutes ago
SELLFURIA Esports$11.4K@ 99.9¢
asfg1rr1s0x245a…809a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLFURIA Esports$59.1K@ 99.9¢
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFURIA Esports$11.3K@ 84.0¢
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYFURIA Esports$11.1K@ 82.4¢0xb70c…34ca🐋—about 12 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

jaytee158FURIA Esports$43.6K
BUY VWAP 84.2¢·8 fills
BrotherObamaRED Canids$12.0K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills
0xb70c…34caFURIA Esports$11.1K
BUY VWAP 82.4¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.