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Clemson vs. California

● quote 14s ago
Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $488.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $264.6KEvent: Clemson vs. California
54.5¢
Clemson
45.5¢
California
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets86Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:42 trades$113.6K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:California · $12.2K net·3 wallets·$14.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYClemson$45.1K@ 53¢·primm

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$37
6h
+$18.7K
tracked
$113.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: California · $12.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-26 02:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Clemson" if Clemson win the game.

•This market will resolve to "California" if California win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Clemson and California, scheduled for September 25 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Clemson" if Clemson win the game. This market will resolve to "California" if California win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Clemson@ 54.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Clemson; negative values favor California. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCalifornia · $37
6hClemson · $18.7K
24hClemson · $66.4K

Clemson price VWAP

Volume-weighted Clemson price. California fills are converted to the complementary Clemson probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current54.5¢
VWAP 24h53.5¢▲ above by 1.0pp
VWAP 7d53.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Clemson price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$29.1K
50¢
← now
$90.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYClemson$10.0K@ 55.0¢
Kosherlocks0x8239…d9a3
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYClemson$45.1K@ 53.0¢
primm0xd38b…5029
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

primmClemson$45.1K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill
KosherlocksClemson$12.5K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.