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Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $173.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $14.6KEvent: Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
49.5¢
Atlanta Braves
50.5¢
Cincinnati Reds
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets3Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority48Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 100%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:27 trades$36.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cincinnati Reds · $670 net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$26.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCincinnati Reds$13.6K@ 50¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Atlanta Braves pressure: $4.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.2K
6h
+$8.9K
tracked
$36.3K

4 verified profitable wallets: Cincinnati Reds · $670 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 100% · priority 48

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Atlanta Braves or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-22 23:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game by 2 or more runs.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 22 at 7:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo3 linked markets · $47.1K gross
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $41.3K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $22.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Atlanta Braves; negative values favor Cincinnati Reds. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAtlanta Braves · $4.2K
6hAtlanta Braves · $8.9K
24hAtlanta Braves · $8.9K

Atlanta Braves price VWAP

Volume-weighted Atlanta Braves price. Cincinnati Reds fills are converted to the complementary Atlanta Braves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h48.8¢▲ above by 0.7pp
VWAP 7d48.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Atlanta Braves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$14.9K
45¢
← now
$21.4K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCincinnati Reds$13.6K@ 50.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—9 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Cincinnati Reds$13.6K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.