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Tolentino: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Julia Grabher

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 5 daysLiquidity: $235.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $338.9KEvent: Tolentino: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Julia Grabher
0.1¢
Jennifer Ruggeri
100.0¢
Julia Grabher
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets32Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:103 trades$143.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 29 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jennifer Ruggeri · $17.4K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$53.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLJulia Grabher$17.6K@ 85¢·Antblack

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Jennifer Ruggeri pressure: $22.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$22.2K
6h
+$32.0K
tracked
$143.9K

11 verified profitable wallets: Jennifer Ruggeri · $17.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +72.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 29 minutes old.
  • •Executable SELL price moved 72.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jennifer Ruggeri or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-28 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jennifer Ruggeri and Julia Grabher in the Tolentino, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jennifer Ruggeri' if Jennifer Ruggeri advances against Julia Grabher. This market will resolve to 'Julia Grabher' if Julia Grabher advances against Jennifer Ruggeri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Jennifer Ruggeri2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWSELL Jennifer Ruggeri@ 72.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +24.0pp1h CONFIRMED +52.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Jennifer Ruggeri2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Jennifer Ruggeri@ 56.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +14.0pp1h INVALIDATED -38.0pp
Latest book event: Jennifer Ruggeri UP 8.0pp · near-book depth $70 → $16.2K · 31s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jennifer Ruggeri; negative values favor Julia Grabher. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJennifer Ruggeri · $22.2K
6hJennifer Ruggeri · $32.0K
24hJennifer Ruggeri · $32.0K

Jennifer Ruggeri price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jennifer Ruggeri price. Julia Grabher fills are converted to the complementary Jennifer Ruggeri probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h43.5¢▼ below by 43.4pp
VWAP 7d43.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jennifer Ruggeri price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$98
70¢
$7.6K
65¢
$3.8K
60¢
$23.1K
55¢
$35.0K
50¢
$12.6K
45¢
$921
40¢
$9.1K
35¢
$1.3K
30¢
$5.0K
25¢
$1.0K
20¢
$4.9K
15¢
$11.7K
10¢
$26.2K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$1.7K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJulia Grabher$17.6K@ 85.1¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLJennifer Ruggeri$14.5K@ 58.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJennifer Ruggeri$12.7K@ 56.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtJennifer Ruggeri$26.7K
BUY VWAP 53.8¢·4 fills
AntblackJulia Grabher$12.8K
BUY VWAP 46.5¢·2 fills
0xa0f2…1848Julia Grabher$10.1K
BUY VWAP 81.9¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.