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Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $34.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $405.4KEvent: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
0.1¢
Atlanta Braves
100.0¢
Miami Marlins
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection28Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets1Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution87Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:44 trades$209.3K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 23s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Atlanta Braves · $262 net·7 wallets·$33.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMiami Marlins$39.3K@ 54¢·xifutloong3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Miami Marlins pressure: $58.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$58.2K
6h
−$170.2K
tracked
$209.3K

7 verified profitable wallets: Atlanta Braves · $262 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +5.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Miami Marlins or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 19:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins, scheduled for September 27 at 3:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Miami Marlins@ 95.0¢19m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Miami Marlins@ 55.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -12.0pp1h CONFIRMED +7.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Atlanta Braves@ 46.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Miami Marlins@ 55.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
Latest book event: Miami Marlins UP 7.5pp · near-book depth $1.3K → $6.5K · 12s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Atlanta Braves; negative values favor Miami Marlins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiami Marlins · $58.2K
6hMiami Marlins · $170.2K
24hMiami Marlins · $175.2K

Atlanta Braves price VWAP

Volume-weighted Atlanta Braves price. Miami Marlins fills are converted to the complementary Atlanta Braves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h36.7¢▼ below by 36.6pp
VWAP 7d36.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Atlanta Braves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1
50¢
$1
45¢
$148.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$2.8K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$8.3K
10¢
$49.1K
5¢
$382
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMiami Marlins$22.2K@ 53.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMiami Marlins$10.7K@ 54.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMiami Marlins$39.3K@ 54.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMiami Marlins$32.4K@ 54.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xifutloong3Miami Marlins$50.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·2 fills
taylorsversionMiami Marlins$41.0K
BUY VWAP 88.0¢·5 fills
SDTradingMiami Marlins$37.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·2 fills
kkookkooMiami Marlins$22.2K
BUY VWAP 53.9¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Atlanta Braves$15.9K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·2 fills
dabossrealmanMiami Marlins$11.1K
BUY VWAP 78.1¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.