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Spread: Rams (-2.5)

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $816.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $736.5KEvent: Rams vs. Broncos
46.5¢
Rams
53.5¢
Broncos
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:58 trades$356.9K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Broncos · $43.7K net·3 wallets(2🐋)·$44.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRams$60.3K@ 49¢·BrotherObama

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Rams pressure: $14.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$14.3K
6h
+$138.0K
tracked
$356.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: Broncos · $43.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 17 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Rams or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-28 00:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Rams" if the Rams win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Broncos".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Rams and Broncos, scheduled for September 27 at 8:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rams" if the Rams win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Broncos". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
liquiditycrisis2 linked markets · $379.9K gross
Tiger2003 linked markets · $280.4K gross
0xbc43…96d32 linked markets · $118.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Broncos@ 54.0¢25m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Rams@ 48.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Rams@ 48.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Broncos@ 53.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rams; negative values favor Broncos. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRams · $14.3K
6hRams · $138.0K
24hRams · $164.6K

Rams price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rams price. Broncos fills are converted to the complementary Rams probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current46.5¢
VWAP 24h48.0¢▼ below by 1.5pp
VWAP 7d48.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Rams price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.9K
45¢
← now
$356.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRams$22.7K@ 47.0¢
analdesutructor0xf8fd…876f
🐋—22 minutes ago
BUYBroncos$50.8K@ 53.0¢
Tiger2000x6211…b89e
🐋—27 minutes ago
BUYBroncos$23.7K@ 52.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRams$38.5K@ 48.9¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRams$60.3K@ 49.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRams$11.3K@ 48.0¢
vilkaZ0x5f38…eb70
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYRams$18.7K@ 48.0¢
YEEES-but-why0x9052…3c2d
🐋—about 9 hours ago
BUYBroncos$20.2K@ 52.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 12 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaRams$100.0K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·3 fills
Tiger200Broncos$50.8K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill
YEEES-but-whyRams$27.6K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563Broncos$23.7K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
analdesutructorRams$22.7K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
maz26Broncos$20.2K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
vilkaZRams$18.1K
BUY VWAP 47.9¢·3 fills
misterimbasRams$13.0K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·2 fills
0xd3a0…f136Rams$11.7K
BUY VWAP 47.5¢·2 fills
NeverLoseBetRams$10.8K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.