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LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: 20 minutesLiquidity: $274.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $453.2KEvent: LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs
99.9¢
LOS
0.1¢
LOUD
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly44Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets35Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 81%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:102 trades$110.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 30s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:LOS · $15.3K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$41.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLOS$13.5K@ 54¢·0xf201…527e

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

LOUD pressure: $1.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.5K
6h
+$3.0K
tracked
$110.2K

12 verified profitable wallets: LOS · $15.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 81% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +43.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 43.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from LOUD or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 22:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against LOUD.

•This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against LOS.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Final match between LOS and LOUD in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against LOUD. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against LOS. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e4 linked markets · $57.0K gross
ColinHe3 linked markets · $34.9K gross
sofa888883 linked markets · $27.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY LOS2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY LOS@ 57.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +29.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor LOS; negative values favor LOUD. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLOUD · $1.5K
6hLOS · $3.0K
24hLOS · $8.4K

LOS price VWAP

Volume-weighted LOS price. LOUD fills are converted to the complementary LOS probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h67.2¢▲ above by 32.8pp
VWAP 7d67.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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LOS price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$21.4K
90¢
$3.3K
85¢
$1.5K
80¢
$1.2K
75¢
$1.0K
70¢
$6.8K
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.1K
55¢
$40.7K
50¢
$33.4K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLOS$13.5K@ 54.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf201…527eLOS$23.5K
BUY VWAP 55.1¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.