PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $869.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $376.4KEvent: Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
0.1¢
PlayTime
100.0¢
Team Cobra
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets18Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 19 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:218 trades$118.9K trackedsource coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:PlayTime · $2.1K net·19 wallets·$11.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPlayTime$8.0K@ 62¢·0xe16d…5e30

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Team Cobra pressure: $15.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$15.8K
6h
+$1.3K
tracked
$118.9K

19 verified profitable wallets: PlayTime · $2.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +35.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 35.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Cobra or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win the match against Team Cobra.

•This market will resolve to "Team Cobra" if Team Cobra win the match against PlayTime.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between PlayTime and Team Cobra in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win the match against Team Cobra. This market will resolve to "Team Cobra" if Team Cobra win the match against PlayTime. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 20, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $49.1K gross
ribalka3 linked markets · $22.7K gross
PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTR3 linked markets · $15.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Team Cobra27m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Team Cobra@ 65.0¢30m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY PlayTime@ 63.0¢54m ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp
Latest book event: Team Cobra DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $265 → $1.6K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor PlayTime; negative values favor Team Cobra. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Cobra · $15.8K
6hPlayTime · $1.3K
24hPlayTime · $4.3K

PlayTime price VWAP

Volume-weighted PlayTime price. Team Cobra fills are converted to the complementary PlayTime probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h41.0¢▼ below by 41.0pp
VWAP 7d41.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

PlayTime price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$2.1K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$2.1K
60¢
$26.5K
55¢
$11.2K
50¢
$12.3K
45¢
$5.0K
40¢
$14.9K
35¢
$7.0K
30¢
$3.2K
25¢
$5.6K
20¢
$5.3K
15¢
$3.4K
10¢
$1.9K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$18.3K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: BAL (-8.5)
49.5¢$846.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
6.0¢$730.7Kpriority48Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bengals vs. Texans
41.5¢$575.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Broncos (-2.5)
51.5¢$490.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?
46.5¢$470.9Kpriority39Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
100.0¢$418.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A
0.1¢$408.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe16d…5e30PlayTime$18.1K
BUY VWAP 60.4¢·7 fills
ribalkaTeam Cobra$11.3K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·10 fills
PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTRTeam Cobra$10.2K
BUY VWAP 61.2¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.